This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Finland
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Denmark
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Greece
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
France
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Australia
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Israel
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Sweden
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Italy
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Romania
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ukraine
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Malta
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
Cyprus
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
Czechia
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
Bulgaria
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Moldova
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Croatia
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
Germany
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
Luxembourg
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
Norway
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
Belgium
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
Lithuania
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
Serbia
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
Switzerland
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
United Kingdom
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
Albania
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
Austria
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Estonia
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
Latvia
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
Portugal
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
Armenia
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?
Azerbaijan
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?
Georgia
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?
Poland
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
San Marino
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
Montenegro
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
| # | Market | YES | NO | Liquidity | Orders | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Finland Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | 35.4% | 64.5% | $455.7K | Open | 35% |
| 2 | Denmark Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | 13.1% | 87.0% | $83.6K | Open | 13% |
| 3 | Greece Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | 12.1% | 87.9% | $59.9K | Open | 12% |
| 4 | France Will France win Eurovision 2026? | 10.1% | 89.9% | $134.1K | Open | 10% |
| 5 | Australia Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | 6.3% | 93.7% | $170.8K | Open | 6% |
| 6 | Israel Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | 5.1% | 95.0% | $101.1K | Open | 5% |
| 7 | Sweden Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | 2.9% | 97.2% | $133.2K | Open | 3% |
| 8 | Italy Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | 2.8% | 97.3% | $247.8K | Open | 3% |
| 9 | Romania Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | 2.4% | 97.7% | $164.0K | Open | 2% |
| 10 | Ukraine Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | 1.5% | 98.6% | $218.3K | Open | 1% |
| 11 | Malta Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | 1.4% | 98.7% | $145.2K | Open | 1% |
| 12 | Cyprus Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | 0.9% | 99.1% | $173.0K | Open | 1% |
| 13 | Czechia Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | 0.9% | 99.1% | $73.4K | Open | 1% |
| 14 | Bulgaria Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | 0.9% | 99.2% | $199.2K | Open | 1% |
| 15 | Moldova Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | 0.7% | 99.4% | $226.2K | Open | 1% |
| 16 | Croatia Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | 0.5% | 99.5% | $394.8K | Open | 1% |
| 17 | Germany Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | 0.4% | 99.6% | $357.4K | Open | 0% |
| 18 | Luxembourg Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | 0.4% | 99.6% | $398.1K | Open | 0% |
| 19 | Norway Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | 0.4% | 99.6% | $281.2K | Open | 0% |
| 20 | Belgium Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | 0.4% | 99.7% | $601.5K | Open | 0% |
| 21 | Lithuania Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | 0.4% | 99.7% | $399.6K | Open | 0% |
| 22 | Serbia Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | 0.4% | 99.7% | $519.6K | Open | 0% |
| 23 | Switzerland Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | 0.4% | 99.7% | $398.0K | Open | 0% |
| 24 | United Kingdom Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | 0.4% | 99.7% | $546.6K | Open | 0% |
| 25 | Albania Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | 0.3% | 99.8% | $651.9K | Open | 0% |
| 26 | Austria Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | 0.3% | 99.8% | $347.8K | Open | 0% |
| 27 | Estonia Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | 0.3% | 99.8% | $747.2K | Open | 0% |
| 28 | Latvia Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | 0.3% | 99.8% | $728.9K | Open | 0% |
| 29 | Portugal Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? | 0.3% | 99.8% | $706.2K | Open | 0% |
| 30 | Armenia Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | 0.3% | 99.8% | $536.9K | Open | 0% |
| 31 | Azerbaijan Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | 0.3% | 99.8% | $463.2K | Open | 0% |
| 32 | Georgia Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? | 0.3% | 99.8% | $687.9K | Open | 0% |
| 33 | Poland Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | 0.3% | 99.8% | $582.3K | Open | 0% |
| 34 | San Marino Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? | 0.1% | 99.9% | $602.8K | Open | 0% |
| 35 | Montenegro Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? | 0.1% | 99.9% | $720.6K | Open | 0% |