A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Flávio Bolsonaro
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Renan Santos
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Augusto Cury
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ronaldo Caiado
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Jair Bolsonaro
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Romeu Zema
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Camilo Santana
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Pablo Marçal
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Tarcisio de Freitas
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Fernando Haddad
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Michelle Bolsonaro
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Eduardo Bolsonaro
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ratinho Júnior
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Geraldo Alckmin
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Eduardo Leite
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Aldo Rebelo
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Tereza Cristina
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Helder Barbalho
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
| # | Market | YES | NO | Liquidity | Orders | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 55.5% | 44.5% | $340.2K | Open | 56% |
| 2 | Flávio Bolsonaro Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 41.4% | 58.6% | $241.3K | Open | 41% |
| 3 | Renan Santos Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 2.3% | 97.8% | $370.4K | Open | 2% |
| 4 | Augusto Cury Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1.8% | 98.2% | $324.5K | Open | 2% |
| 5 | Ronaldo Caiado Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.3% | 99.8% | $898.4K | Open | 0% |
| 6 | Jair Bolsonaro Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 99.9% | $487.3K | Open | 0% |
| 7 | Romeu Zema Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 99.9% | $943.3K | Open | 0% |
| 8 | Camilo Santana Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 99.9% | $443.8K | Open | 0% |
| 9 | Pablo Marçal Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 99.9% | $467.3K | Open | 0% |
| 10 | Tarcisio de Freitas Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 100.0% | $612.0K | Open | 0% |
| 11 | Fernando Haddad Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 100.0% | $320.8K | Open | 0% |
| 12 | Michelle Bolsonaro Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 100.0% | $574.5K | Open | 0% |
| 13 | Eduardo Bolsonaro Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 100.0% | $1.72M | Open | 0% |
| 14 | Ratinho Júnior Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 100.0% | $1.88M | Open | 0% |
| 15 | Geraldo Alckmin Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 100.0% | $152.0K | Open | 0% |
| 16 | Eduardo Leite Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 100.0% | $1.90M | Open | 0% |
| 17 | Aldo Rebelo Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 100.0% | $1.92M | Open | 0% |
| 18 | Tereza Cristina Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 100.0% | $751.7K | Open | 0% |
| 19 | Helder Barbalho Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0.1% | 100.0% | $817.8K | Open | 0% |