This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
J.D. Vance
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Marco Rubio
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Tucker Carlson
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Donald Trump Jr.
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ron DeSantis
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Donald Trump
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Vivek Ramaswamy
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Thomas Massie
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Glenn Youngkin
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Tulsi Gabbard
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Rand Paul
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ivanka Trump
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ted Cruz
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Elon Musk
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Nikki Haley
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Eric Trump
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Greg Abbott
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Brian Kemp
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Josh Hawley
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Kim Kardashian
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Matt Gaetz
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Katie Britt
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
John Thune
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Tom Brady
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Steve Bannon
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Pete Hegseth
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Byron Donalds
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Elise Stefanik
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Erika Kirk
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Kristi Noem
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Joe Kent
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Mike Pence
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
| # | Market | YES | NO | Liquidity | Orders | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 49.0% | 51.0% | $15 | Open | 49% |
| 2 | J.D. Vance Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 38.6% | 61.4% | $200.0K | Open | 39% |
| 3 | Marco Rubio Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 21.8% | 78.3% | $202.8K | Open | 22% |
| 4 | Tucker Carlson Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 5.5% | 94.5% | $130.8K | Open | 6% |
| 5 | Donald Trump Jr. Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 2.5% | 97.5% | $156.7K | Open | 3% |
| 6 | Ron DeSantis Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 2.5% | 97.5% | $270.8K | Open | 3% |
| 7 | Donald Trump Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1.9% | 98.0% | $211.6K | Open | 2% |
| 8 | Vivek Ramaswamy Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1.7% | 98.4% | $180.2K | Open | 2% |
| 9 | Thomas Massie Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1.7% | 98.4% | $192.4K | Open | 2% |
| 10 | Glenn Youngkin Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1.5% | 98.6% | $233.2K | Open | 1% |
| 11 | Tulsi Gabbard Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1.1% | 98.9% | $1.14M | Open | 1% |
| 12 | Rand Paul Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1.1% | 99.0% | $484.9K | Open | 1% |
| 13 | Marjorie Taylor Greene Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1.1% | 99.0% | $192.6K | Open | 1% |
| 14 | Ivanka Trump Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1.1% | 99.0% | $212.7K | Open | 1% |
| 15 | Ted Cruz Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1.1% | 99.0% | $507.3K | Open | 1% |
| 16 | Elon Musk Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1.1% | 99.0% | $1.16M | Open | 1% |
| 17 | Nikki Haley Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.9% | 99.1% | $517.2K | Open | 1% |
| 18 | Eric Trump Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.9% | 99.2% | $566.7K | Open | 1% |
| 19 | Greg Abbott Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.9% | 99.2% | $932.0K | Open | 1% |
| 20 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.9% | 99.2% | $494.9K | Open | 1% |
| 21 | Brian Kemp Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.9% | 99.2% | $424.1K | Open | 1% |
| 22 | Josh Hawley Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.9% | 99.2% | $250.7K | Open | 1% |
| 23 | Kim Kardashian Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.8% | 99.3% | $180.9K | Open | 1% |
| 24 | Matt Gaetz Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.8% | 99.3% | $247.2K | Open | 1% |
| 25 | Sarah Huckabee Sanders Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.8% | 99.3% | $1.15M | Open | 1% |
| 26 | Katie Britt Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.8% | 99.3% | $216.0K | Open | 1% |
| 27 | John Thune Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.8% | 99.3% | $660.5K | Open | 1% |
| 28 | Tom Brady Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.8% | 99.3% | $1.26M | Open | 1% |
| 29 | Steve Bannon Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.8% | 99.3% | $383.6K | Open | 1% |
| 30 | Pete Hegseth Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.7% | 99.4% | $426.5K | Open | 1% |
| 31 | Byron Donalds Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.7% | 99.4% | $348.2K | Open | 1% |
| 32 | Elise Stefanik Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.7% | 99.4% | $772.1K | Open | 1% |
| 33 | Erika Kirk Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.7% | 99.4% | $796.8K | Open | 1% |
| 34 | Kristi Noem Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.7% | 99.4% | $298.5K | Open | 1% |
| 35 | Joe Kent Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.7% | 99.4% | $513.5K | Open | 1% |
| 36 | Mike Pence Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0.7% | 99.4% | $694.3K | Open | 1% |