ExclusiveEnds 2026-10-31

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Liquidity$2.08M

24h Volume$2.83M

Total Volume$45.73M

Markets9

Sub-markets

9 markets, sorted by YES price

Kevin Warsh

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

98.9%

YES 98.9%NO 1.1%$164.1K liq● Open

Judy Shelton

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

0.5%

YES 0.5%NO 99.5%$477.3K liq● Open

Christopher Waller

Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?

0.1%

YES 0.1%NO 99.9%$143.8K liq● Open

Jerome Powell

Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?

0.1%

YES 0.1%NO 99.9%$233.1K liq● Open

Scott Bessent

Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?

0.1%

YES 0.1%NO 99.9%$176.6K liq● Open

Michelle Bowman

Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?

0.1%

YES 0.1%NO 99.9%$84.8K liq● Open

Kevin Hassett

Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?

0.1%

YES 0.1%NO 100.0%$290.1K liq● Open

Stephen Miran

Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?

0.1%

YES 0.1%NO 100.0%$215.1K liq● Open

Rick Reider

Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?

0.1%

YES 0.1%NO 100.0%$293.1K liq● Open

#	Market	YES	NO	Liquidity	Orders	Probability
1	Kevin Warsh Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	98.9%	1.1%	$164.1K	Open	99%
2	Judy Shelton Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	0.5%	99.5%	$477.3K	Open	1%
3	Christopher Waller Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	0.1%	99.9%	$143.8K	Open	0%
4	Jerome Powell Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	0.1%	99.9%	$233.1K	Open	0%
5	Scott Bessent Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	0.1%	99.9%	$176.6K	Open	0%
6	Michelle Bowman Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	0.1%	99.9%	$84.8K	Open	0%
7	Kevin Hassett Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	0.1%	100.0%	$290.1K	Open	0%
8	Stephen Miran Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	0.1%	100.0%	$215.1K	Open	0%
9	Rick Reider Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	0.1%	100.0%	$293.1K	Open	0%