If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marco Rubio
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?
Any U.S. House member
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
Any U.S. Senator
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
Jared Kushner
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?
Pete Hegseth
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
JD Vance
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
Donald Trump
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
Benjamin Netanyahu
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
| # | Market | YES | NO | Liquidity | Orders | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marco Rubio Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? | 0.3% | 99.7% | $34.2K | Open | 0% |
| 2 | Any U.S. House member Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? | 0.3% | 99.8% | $37.7K | Open | 0% |
| 3 | Any U.S. Senator Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? | 0.1% | 99.9% | $29.4K | Open | 0% |
| 4 | Jared Kushner Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30? | 0.1% | 99.9% | $34.1K | Open | 0% |
| 5 | Pete Hegseth Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? | 0.1% | 99.9% | $38.3K | Open | 0% |
| 6 | JD Vance Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? | 0.1% | 99.9% | $36.0K | Open | 0% |
| 7 | Donald Trump Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? | 0.1% | 99.9% | $49.8K | Open | 0% |
| 8 | Benjamin Netanyahu Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? | 0.1% | 100.0% | $81.4K | Open | 0% |